Pick 6 - Week 14

Never thought my Week 14 recommendations would be led off by this guy...



Each week this column will suggest borderline players that you should start, and borderline players that you should sit. These projections are based on historical match ups, the match up against the current defense, and how the player is performing this year.

Playoff rule of thumb - Don't get cute, start your studs.

Studs

Shaun Draughn - Facing a terrible Browns run defense, he is a great RB2 play this week. He has a high floor as he will be the only one getting significant touches for the 49er's backfield. Expect 70+ yards with a good chance of scoring.

Marvin Jones - I never thought I would be including Marvin Jones on here, but he faces a PIT defense that gives up the 6th most fantasy points to WR's. If you are looking for a dart-throw of a flex play, Jones is your guy. Expect about 60 yards and as good a shot at a TD as anyone else in free agency. 

Zach Miller  - Martellus Bennett is out for the year, so Zach Miller has more room to shine in a full time role. Since week 9, Miller has averaged 8.6 points per game. He should have a reasonably safe floor of 50 yards  this week as the Bears option 2B in the passing game (Alshon #1 and Forte 2A).

 Duds

Eddie Lacy - This one hurts. I was a huge proponent of Lacy on draft day, but boy was I wrong about him. I countered my loss in Lacy by investing in Little Debbie snack cakes though so I should break even. After such an up and down season for all GB RB's, it is just too fluid of a situation to recommend starting any GB RB for a playoff matchup this week.

Matt Jones - The Bears have been hot lately, and I like their odds of continuing their solid play to get the win at home against the Redskins. I do like Jones' odds of getting more touches than Alfred Morris, however, I don't expect either to have much success. While the Bears are an average run-D, Jones is only averaging 4 points per game over the last three weeks. Not much upside when you are trying to win a playoff matchup.

Phillip Rivers  - The Chargers are a mess. Their offensive line is among the worst in football (partially due to injury), which has severely limited the run game. Combine that with having nothing to work with for receivers and you have a disaster of a matchup. Rivers has been playing well and seems to find a way to put up respectable numbes this year, but 15 points from your QB isn't going to win you a playoff matchup. Look elsewhere for a QB this week.

Waiver Wire Stud
This is the player that I pick each week who is currently a no-namer or unowned in the majority of leagues, but will become one of the top pickups next week. This player is a great speculative add if you have a free roster spot that you can use before you miss out on him next week due to your league’s waiver wire pickup order.

Saints Backfield - CJ Spiller and Tim Hightower should be owned in all leagues after Mark Ingram was placed on the IR this week. We don't know how the Saints will use each of these players, but I expect Tim Hightower to fit in the 3rd down role and have the first crack at touches. Spiller is the better athlete, but he hasn't been incorporated into the offense all year. I don't think that will change much. Expect about a 50-50 split from these two, but they could be helpful since we have seen so many injuries at the RB position.

2 comments:

  1. I really like when Sean comes out on the field! it makes the game to be constantly watching TV

    ReplyDelete
  2. Greetings! I am impressed by the contributed report. I wonder how is the player performing this year?

    ReplyDelete