Pick 6 - Week 16

I am a firm believer in the thought of starting your studs for the playoffs, but there are certain exceptions....



Each week this column will suggest borderline players that you should start, and borderline players that you should sit. These projections are based on historical match ups, the match up against the current defense, and how the player is performing this year.

Playoff rule of thumb - Don't get cute, start your studs.

Studs

Alfred Morris - This is my gut call of the week. Morris is currently owned in about 50% of leagues, so he can be picked up on the waiver wire. Matt Jones is listed as questionable, and should play, but if this game gets out of hand at any point I wouldn't be suprised if Jones is benched to rest him for the playoffs (sounds weird saying that about a Redskins' player). The Eagles give up the 7th most points in the league to RB's, and I think we all remember what David Johnson was able to do to them last weekend - 187 yards and 3 TD's. Use Morris as your flex play this week as I like his upside more than any other RB 3's this week. 

Kamar Aiken - The last man standing in the Ravens' offense should continue to see double digit targets. He has averaged 10 targets over the last six weeks. Pittsburgh should be up all game meaning that Baltimore should be throwing all game. Aiken might not be your 20 point guy this week, but he does have as high a floor you can expect from a WR 2.

Zach Miller - Miller is a great option at TE this week. With Alshon Jeffery doubtful to play, Miller should lead the team in targets.

Duds

Todd Gurley - In the tag line above, I have highlighted "start your studs" when it comes to the playoffs. Gurley is the rare exception that I am making to this rule. The Rams have gone down hill fast during the second half of the season due to some injuries to their defense and an awful passing game. Gurley has no help on offense, he faces a loaded box everytime he gets the ball. That has led to him being held below 100 yards in six of his last seven games, and below 50 yards in four of those seven games. This week he faces a Seahawks defense that has not allowed a 100 yard rusher all year, and has only give up four rushing TD's. In a fantasy football championship matchup, Gurley just does not offer you any upside. It's a tough call, but Gurley should be on your bench this week. To give you a perspective of where I have him ranked, I am starting Christine Michael, Karlos Williams, and Joique Bell over Gurley this week.

AJ Green - This is the only other 'stud' that I am recommending that you sit this week. The first reason is the matchup. Aside from Antonio Brown, the Denver defense has allowed 3 TD's to WR's this year, and only two 100 yard receivers. Additionally, the Bengals will continue to roll with McCarron at QB this week. This combination doesn't leave any upside for Green as an 8 point outing would be consider a success with his matchup. Time to leave him on the bench.

Eli Manning - Eli has been solid this season, however this weekend he is on the road against a tough Vikings defense. Add to the mix that OBJ is suspended this week and you have a matchup with no upside. Look to someone like Kirk Cousins for more upside this week.

2 comments:

  1. To have a rest is really good and renewing for your body.

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  2. I'm certainly not a fan of the football, but I like to read about it when you write

    ReplyDelete